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Turkey · 1. Lig

12 Apr 2026 13:00 UTC

ADANA DEMIRSPOR vs IGDIR FK

Final 1:6

Igdir FK won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Gianni Bruno — Igdir FK
  2. ⚽ Tsunami — Adana Demirspor
  3. ⚽ Ryan Mendes — Igdir FK

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Leandro Bacuna — Igdir FK
  2. ⚽ Ryan Mendes — Igdir FK
  3. ⚽ Fodé Koita — Igdir FK
  4. ⚽ Ryan Mendes — Igdir FK

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
Adana Demirspor
90-minute result: Igdir FK
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
37%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Big miss
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:6

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 52% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 56 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 333 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 331 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 72% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 64 past matches

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 42% (Weak)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 5% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
247 predictions
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
194 predictions
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
263 predictions
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
170 predictions
Total 3.5 35% (Weak)
86 predictions
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
286 predictions

Match overview