← Back to matches

Hungary · NB I

05 Apr 2026 12:30 UTC

DIOSGYORI VTK vs PUSKAS FC ACADEMY

Final 1:2

Puskas FC Academy won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Álex Vallejo — Diosgyori VTK

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Dániel Lukács — Puskas FC Academy
  2. ⚽ Zsolt Nagy — Puskas FC Academy

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
Underdog
39%
1X2
Diosgyori VTK
90-minute result: Puskas FC Academy
Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 43% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 47 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 165 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 161 completed matches.

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 12% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 51 past matches

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 42% (Weak)
111 predictions
Both teams to score 64% (Good)
102 predictions
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
133 predictions
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
82 predictions
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
127 predictions
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
150 predictions

Match overview