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Greece · Second Division · Super League 2 Grp. A Relegation Group

18 Apr 2026 12:00 UTC

PAOK THESSALONIKI FC B vs NESTOS CHRISOUPOLIS

Final 1:1

Draw

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Christos Lelekas — Nestos Chrisoupolis
  2. ⚽ Giannis Gitersos — PAOK Thessaloniki FC B

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
PAOK Thessaloniki FC B
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
65%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
11%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 62% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 34 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 248 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 250 completed matches.

1X2 51% (Average)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 54% (Average)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 47 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 51% (Average)
183 predictions
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
136 predictions
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
183 predictions
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
140 predictions
Total 3.5 82% (Strong)
200 predictions
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
227 predictions

Match overview