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Greece · Second Division · Super League 2 Grp. A Relegation Group

18 Apr 2026 12:00 UTC

PAS GIANNINA vs KAVALA

Final 3:1

PAS Giannina won

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. Candas Fiogbé — PAS Giannina
  2. Christos Rovas — Kavala
  3. Dylan Tutonda — PAS Giannina
  4. Candas Fiogbé — PAS Giannina

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Lucky hit
44%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
65%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
37%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Big miss
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 49% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 61 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 248 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 250 completed matches.

1X2 51% (Average)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 54% (Average)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 47 past matches

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 47% (Average)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 51% (Average)
183 predictions
Both teams to score 36% (Weak)
114 predictions
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
183 predictions
Total 2.5 35% (Weak)
110 predictions
Total 3.5 82% (Strong)
200 predictions
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
227 predictions

Match overview