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Greece · Second Division · Super League 2 Grp. A Relegation Group

05 Apr 2026 12:00 UTC

KAVALA vs PAOK THESSALONIKI FC B

Final 2:1

Kavala won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Giannis Gitersos — PAOK Thessaloniki FC B

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Christos Rovas — Kavala
  2. ⚽ Mark Sifneos — Kavala

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
PAOK Thessaloniki FC B
90-minute result: Kavala
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
65%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
76%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
0:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 39% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 23 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 242 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 243 completed matches.

1X2 52% (Average)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 43 past matches

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 52% (Average)
178 predictions
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
131 predictions
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
178 predictions
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
134 predictions
Total 3.5 82% (Strong)
194 predictions
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
220 predictions

Match overview