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Greece · Second Division · Super League 2 Grp. B Relegation Group

04 Apr 2026 12:00 UTC

EGALEO vs PAE CHANIA

Final 1:0

Egaleo won

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. Georgios Kosteas — Egaleo

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

No surprise
44%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Off target
65%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
37%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
37%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
2:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 32% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 72 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 239 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 240 completed matches.

1X2 31% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 47 past matches

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 36% (Weak)
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
Total 3.5 87% (Strong)
Total 4.5 96% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 31% (Weak)
64 predictions
Both teams to score 37% (Weak)
111 predictions
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
175 predictions
Total 2.5 36% (Weak)
107 predictions
Total 3.5 13% (Weak)
48 predictions
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
217 predictions

Match overview