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Qatar · Stars League · Qatar Stars League

04 Apr 2026 15:30 UTC

AL-SHAMAL vs UMM SALAL

Final 3:2

Al-Shamal won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Omid Ebrahimi — Al-Shamal
  2. ⚽ Baghdad Bounedjah — Al-Shamal

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Álex Collado — Al-Shamal
  2. ⚽ Antonio Mance — Umm Salal
  3. ⚽ Yamaan Jarrar — Umm Salal

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
Favorite
45%
1X2
Al-Shamal
90-minute result: Al-Shamal
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Off target
65%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 47% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 34 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 17% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 109 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 115 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 36 past matches

1X2 31% (Weak)
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 3% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
83 predictions
Both teams to score 41% (Weak)
39 predictions
Total 1.5 10% (Weak)
21 predictions
Total 2.5 32% (Weak)
50 predictions
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
85 predictions
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
103 predictions

Match overview