← Back to matches

Qatar · Stars League · Qatar Stars League

04 Apr 2026 15:30 UTC

AL-RAYYAN vs AL-SADD

Final 1:1

Draw

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Roberto Firmino — Al-Sadd

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Aleksandar Mitrovic — Al-Rayyan

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
Underdog
45%
1X2
Al-Rayyan
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
34%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
58%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 38% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 13 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 17% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 109 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 115 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 37 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 51% (Average)
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
83 predictions
Both teams to score 41% (Weak)
39 predictions
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
94 predictions
Total 2.5 32% (Weak)
50 predictions
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
85 predictions
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
103 predictions

Match overview