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Armenia · Premier League

04 Apr 2026 15:00 UTC

ARARAT vs VAN

Final 1:2

Van won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Kalifala Doumbia — Ararat
  2. ⚽ Petros Avetisyan — Van

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Narek Manukyan — Van

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
Underdog
51%
1X2
Van
90-minute result: Van
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 42% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 26 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 87 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 87 completed matches.

1X2 55% (Good)
Both teams to score 39% (Weak)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 45% (Weak)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 72% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 33 past matches

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 45% (Average)
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
Total 2.5 45% (Average)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 55% (Good)
58 predictions
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
32 predictions
Total 1.5 33% (Weak)
24 predictions
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
41 predictions
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
61 predictions
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
73 predictions

Match overview