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Armenia · Premier League

11 Apr 2026 11:00 UTC

ARARAT vs ALASHKERT FC

Final 2:3

Alashkert FC won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Momo Fanye Toure — Alashkert FC
  2. ⚽ Joseph Sabobo — Alashkert FC
  3. ⚽ Aboubacar Sidick Ouattara — Ararat
  4. ⚽ Olawale Farayola — Alashkert FC

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Kalifala Doumbia — Ararat

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
Underdog
51%
1X2
Ararat
90-minute result: Alashkert FC
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Nice call
48%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
54%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
54%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
28%
Score
3:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 40% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 5 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 22% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 94 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

No stats available

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

No stats available

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

No stats available

Match overview