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Spain · LaLiga

04 Apr 2026 12:00 UTC

REAL SOCIEDAD vs LEVANTE

Final 2:0

Real Sociedad won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Jon Martín — Real Sociedad

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Brais Méndez — Real Sociedad

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
Favorite
44%
1X2
Real Sociedad
90-minute result: Real Sociedad
Lucky hit
37%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
No surprise
24%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Nice call
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
78%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
91%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 54% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 87 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 288 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 289 completed matches.

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 57 past matches

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 50% (Average)
214 predictions
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
141 predictions
Total 1.5 22% (Weak)
77 predictions
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
164 predictions
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
240 predictions
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
271 predictions

Match overview