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International · World Cup Qualification UEFA · World Cup Qualification UEFA 2nd Round

26 Mar 2026 19:45 UTC

SLOVAKIA vs KOSOVO

Final 3:4

Top match Kosovo won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Martin Valjent — Slovakia
  2. ⚽ Veldin Hodza — Kosovo
  3. ⚽ Lukás Haraslín — Slovakia

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Fisnik Asllani — Kosovo
  2. ⚽ Florent Muslija — Kosovo
  3. ⚽ Kreshnik Hajrizi — Kosovo
  4. ⚽ David Strelec — Slovakia

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
Favorite
43%
1X2
Slovakia
90-minute result: Kosovo
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
81%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
41%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
41%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Big miss
76%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
4:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:4

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 83% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+4; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 6 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 17% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 168 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 144 completed matches.

1X2 65% (Strong)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 45% (Average)
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
Score 3% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 12 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 25% (Weak)
Both teams to score 17% (Weak)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 25% (Weak)
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 65% (Strong)
121 predictions
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
70 predictions
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
129 predictions
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
89 predictions
Total 3.5 40% (Weak)
45 predictions
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
129 predictions

Match overview