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Germany · Frauen-Bundesliga

22 Mar 2026 17:30 UTC

BAYER LEVERKUSEN vs FC CARL ZEISS JENA

Final 1:0

Bayer Leverkusen won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Katharina Piljic — Bayer Leverkusen

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
90-minute result: Bayer Leverkusen
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Big miss
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
35%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
25%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:4

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 38% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 8 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 18% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 138 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 141 completed matches.

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 48% (Average)
Total 4.5 59% (Good)
Score 3% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 39 past matches

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 36% (Weak)
Total 3.5 49% (Average)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 48% (Average)
108 predictions
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
86 predictions
Total 1.5 86% (Strong)
125 predictions
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
95 predictions
Total 3.5 41% (Weak)
64 predictions
Total 4.5 25% (Weak)
32 predictions

Match overview