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Germany · Frauen-Bundesliga

21 Mar 2026 13:00 UTC

TSG 1899 HOFFENHEIM vs VFL WOLFSBURG

Final 0:1

VfL Wolfsburg won

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. Lineth Beerensteyn — VfL Wolfsburg

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Big miss
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
Lucky hit
33%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
54%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
58%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 12% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 34 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 18% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 136 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 139 completed matches.

1X2 13% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 47% (Average)
Total 4.5 59% (Good)
Score 3% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 38 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 61% (Good)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 13% (Weak)
31 predictions
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
84 predictions
Total 1.5 86% (Strong)
123 predictions
Total 2.5 20% (Weak)
44 predictions
Total 3.5 53% (Average)
75 predictions
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
107 predictions

Match overview