← Back to matches

Norway · Cup

19 Mar 2026 17:00 UTC

KFUM vs FREDRIKSTAD

Final 3:2

KFUM won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Jonas Lange Hjorth — KFUM
  2. ⚽ Tore Andre Soras — KFUM
  3. ⚽ Sondre Sørløkk — Fredrikstad

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Sondre Sørløkk — Fredrikstad
  2. ⚽ Bjoern Martin Kristensen — KFUM

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
Underdog
51%
1X2
Fredrikstad
90-minute result: KFUM
Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
88%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
On point
81%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
53%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
25%
Score
1:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 88% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 34 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 20% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 86 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 75 completed matches.

1X2 49% (Average)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 91% (Strong)
Total 2.5 71% (Strong)
Total 3.5 55% (Average)
Total 4.5 52% (Average)
Score 4% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 4 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 25% (Weak)
Both teams to score 75% (Strong)
Total 1.5 100% (Strong)
Total 2.5 75% (Strong)
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
Total 4.5 100% (Strong)
Score 25% (Strong)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 49% (Average)
61 predictions
Both teams to score 67% (Strong)
51 predictions
Total 1.5 94% (Strong)
71 predictions
Total 2.5 87% (Strong)
54 predictions
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
28 predictions
Total 4.5 58% (Good)
62 predictions

Match overview