← Back to matches

Norway · Cup

08 Mar 2026 17:00 UTC

FREDRIKSTAD vs SARPSBORG 08

Final 2:1 Almanac Moment

Fredrikstad won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Fredrik Holme — Fredrikstad
  2. ⚽ Sondre Sørli — Sarpsborg 08

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Henrik Langaas Skogvold — Fredrikstad

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
Fredrikstad
90-minute result: Fredrikstad
Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
88%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
On point
81%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
43%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
53%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
5%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 24% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 33 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 19% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 81 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 72 completed matches.

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 90% (Strong)
Total 2.5 69% (Strong)
Total 3.5 53% (Average)
Total 4.5 51% (Average)
Score 3% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 4 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 25% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 100% (Strong)
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 50% (Average)
58 predictions
Both teams to score 65% (Strong)
49 predictions
Total 1.5 94% (Strong)
68 predictions
Total 2.5 86% (Strong)
51 predictions
Total 3.5 49% (Average)
45 predictions
Total 4.5 58% (Good)
59 predictions

Match overview