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Chile · Clausura · Primera Division

14 Mar 2026 23:30 UTC

UNIVERSIDAD CATOLICA vs EVERTON CD

Final 2:2

Draw

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Cristian Palacios — Everton CD
  2. ⚽ Lucas Soto — Everton CD
  3. ⚽ Fernando Zampedri — Universidad Catolica

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Jimmy Martínez — Universidad Catolica
  2. 🟥 Juan Ignacio Díaz — Universidad Catolica
  3. 🟥 Dieter Villalpando — Everton CD

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
Underdog
37%
1X2
Everton CD
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 28% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 43 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 19% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 193 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 163 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 39 past matches

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
117 predictions
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
47 predictions
Total 1.5 32% (Weak)
22 predictions
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
73 predictions
Total 3.5 72% (Strong)
130 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
150 predictions

Match overview