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Chile · Clausura · Primera Division

09 Mar 2026 23:00 UTC

UNIVERSIDAD DE CHILE vs UNIVERSIDAD DE CONCEPCION

Final 1:1

Draw

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Daniel Barrea — Universidad de Concepcion

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Eduardo Vargas — Universidad de Chile
  2. 🟥 Marcelo Díaz — Universidad de Chile

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Universidad de Chile
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
13%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 31% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 26 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 18% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 191 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 161 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 24 past matches

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 33% (Weak)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
115 predictions
Both teams to score 42% (Weak)
45 predictions
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
139 predictions
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
71 predictions
Total 3.5 72% (Strong)
128 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
148 predictions

Match overview