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Europe · Champions League · Champions League Final Stage

10 Mar 2026 20:00 UTC

ATALANTA vs BAYERN MUNICH

Final 1:6

Bayern Munich won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Josip Stanisic — Bayern Munich
  2. ⚽ Michael Olise — Bayern Munich
  3. ⚽ Serge Gnabry — Bayern Munich

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Nicolas Jackson — Bayern Munich
  2. ⚽ Michael Olise — Bayern Munich
  3. ⚽ Jamal Musiala — Bayern Munich
  4. ⚽ Mario Pasalic — Atalanta

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
48%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Bayern Munich
Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Nice call
48%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
41%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
35%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Big miss
82%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
25%
Score
2:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:6

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 22% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 32 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 17% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 161 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

No stats available

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

No stats available

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

No stats available

Match overview