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Chile · Clausura · Primera Division

15 Feb 2026 15:00 UTC

UNIVERSIDAD DE CONCEPCION vs DEPORTES CONCEPCION

Final 2:1

Universidad de Concepcion won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Joaquín Larrivey — Deportes Concepcion

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Cristhofer Mesías — Universidad de Concepcion
  2. ⚽ Cecilio Waterman — Universidad de Concepcion
  3. 🟥 David Retamal — Universidad de Concepcion
  4. 🟥 Joaquín Larrivey — Deportes Concepcion

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Universidad de Concepcion
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Big miss
25%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 19% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 68 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 19% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 165 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 135 completed matches.

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 45% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 4 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 100% (Strong)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 25% (Weak)
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
Total 4.5 100% (Strong)
Score 25% (Strong)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 15% (Weak)
39 predictions
Both teams to score 38% (Weak)
37 predictions
Total 1.5 24% (Weak)
17 predictions
Total 2.5 40% (Weak)
60 predictions
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
106 predictions
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
124 predictions

Match overview