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Chile · Clausura · Primera Division

20 Feb 2026 21:00 UTC

UNION LA CALERA vs CD NUBLENSE

Final 0:1

CD Nublense won

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Lucas Molina — CD Nublense

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
Favorite
51%
1X2
Union La Calera
90-minute result: CD Nublense
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Off target
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 70% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 50 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 19% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 168 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 138 completed matches.

1X2 49% (Average)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 33 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 48% (Average)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 49% (Average)
98 predictions
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
98 predictions
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
118 predictions
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
75 predictions
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
109 predictions
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
127 predictions

Match overview