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England · FA Cup

15 Feb 2026 16:30 UTC

ARSENAL vs WIGAN

Final 4:0 Almanac Moment

Arsenal won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Noni Madueke — Arsenal
  2. ⚽ Gabriel Martinelli — Arsenal
  3. ⚽ Jack Hunt — Arsenal
  4. ⚽ Gabriel Jesus — Arsenal

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
Favorite
39%
1X2
Arsenal
90-minute result: Arsenal
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
70%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
43%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
58%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
50%
Score
4:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 67% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+4; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 3 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 22% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 100 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 97 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
Total 2.5 62% (Good)
Total 3.5 49% (Average)
Total 4.5 62% (Good)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 4 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 75% (Strong)
Both teams to score 75% (Strong)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 100% (Strong)
Total 3.5 100% (Strong)
Total 4.5 100% (Strong)
Score 50% (Strong)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 53% (Average)
74 predictions
Both teams to score 42% (Weak)
31 predictions
Total 1.5 87% (Strong)
83 predictions
Total 2.5 77% (Strong)
62 predictions
Total 3.5 49% (Average)
35 predictions
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
81 predictions

Match overview