← Back to matches

Chile · Clausura · Primera Division

09 Feb 2026 23:00 UTC

UNION LA CALERA vs COBRESAL

Final 3:1

Union La Calera won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Kevin Méndez — Union La Calera
  2. ⚽ Francisco Pozzo — Union La Calera
  3. ⚽ Sebastián Sáez — Union La Calera
  4. ⚽ Agustín Nadruz — Cobresal

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Union La Calera
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 20% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 66 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 20% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 161 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 131 completed matches.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 31 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 45% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 45% (Average)
Total 3.5 55% (Average)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 16% (Weak)
37 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
94 predictions
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
114 predictions
Total 2.5 41% (Weak)
58 predictions
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
102 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
120 predictions

Match overview