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Chile · Clausura · Primera Division

08 Feb 2026 23:30 UTC

UNIVERSIDAD CATOLICA vs DEPORTES CONCEPCION

Final 2:0

Universidad Catolica won

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Fernando Zampedri — Universidad Catolica
  2. ⚽ Justo Giani — Universidad Catolica
  3. 🟥 Clemente Montes — Universidad Catolica

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
40%
1X2
Universidad Catolica
90-minute result: Universidad Catolica
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
31%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
19%
Score
3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 30% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 23 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 20% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 158 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 128 completed matches.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 16 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
Total 1.5 88% (Strong)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 19% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 49% (Average)
91 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
92 predictions
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
112 predictions
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
71 predictions
Total 3.5 14% (Weak)
28 predictions
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
117 predictions

Match overview