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France · Ligue 1

08 Feb 2026 19:45 UTC

PARIS SAINT-GERMAIN vs MARSEILLE

Final 5:0

Top match Paris Saint-Germain won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Ousmane Dembélé — Paris Saint-Germain
  2. ⚽ Ousmane Dembélé — Paris Saint-Germain

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Facundo Medina — Paris Saint-Germain
  2. ⚽ Khvicha Kvaratskhelia — Paris Saint-Germain
  3. ⚽ Lee Kang-In — Paris Saint-Germain

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
35%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Paris Saint-Germain
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
82%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
76%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
6%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 5:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 16% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 63 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 21% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 193 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 183 completed matches.

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 39 past matches

1X2 49% (Average)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 62% (Good)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 18% (Weak)
49 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
117 predictions
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
155 predictions
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
80 predictions
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
130 predictions
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
157 predictions

Match overview