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France · Ligue 1

07 Feb 2026 16:00 UTC

LENS vs RENNES

Final 3:1

Lens won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Estéban Lepaul — Rennes
  2. ⚽ Odsonne Édouard — Lens

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Ruben Aguilar — Lens
  2. 🟥 Ruben Aguilar — Lens
  3. ⚽ Allan Saint-Maximin — Lens

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
Favorite
46%
1X2
Lens
90-minute result: Lens
Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
82%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
41%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
76%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 49% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 61 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 21% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 190 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 180 completed matches.

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 38 past matches

1X2 53% (Average)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 55% (Good)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 3% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 52% (Average)
131 predictions
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
114 predictions
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
152 predictions
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
100 predictions
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
129 predictions
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
156 predictions

Match overview