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Scotland · FA Cup

18 Jan 2026 14:30 UTC

ABERDEEN vs RAITH ROVERS

Final 1:0 Almanac Moment

Aberdeen won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Jack Milne — Aberdeen

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
Favorite
51%
1X2
Aberdeen
90-minute result: Aberdeen
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
70%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
70%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
8%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 50% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 8 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 50 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 52 completed matches.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
Total 2.5 42% (Weak)
Total 3.5 40% (Weak)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 1 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 0% (Weak)
Both teams to score 100% (Strong)
Total 1.5 100% (Strong)
Total 2.5 100% (Strong)
Total 3.5 100% (Strong)
Total 4.5 100% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 47% (Average)
38 predictions
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
15 predictions
Total 1.5 20% (Weak)
5 predictions
Total 2.5 25% (Weak)
16 predictions
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
32 predictions
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
47 predictions

Match overview