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Scotland · FA Cup

17 Jan 2026 15:00 UTC

CAMELON JUNIORS vs ELGIN

Final 1:3

Elgin won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Kane Hester — Elgin
  2. ⚽ Jordan Kirkpatrick — Camelon Juniors

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Kane Hester — Elgin
  2. ⚽ Lucas Williamson — Elgin

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
Elgin
90-minute result: Elgin
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Off target
74%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
74%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
74%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 29% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 7 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 18% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 38 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 40 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 45% (Average)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 4 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 25% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 50% (Average)
Total 2.5 0% (Weak)
Total 3.5 25% (Weak)
Total 4.5 50% (Average)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
28 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
12 predictions
Total 1.5 25% (Weak)
4 predictions
Total 2.5 31% (Weak)
13 predictions
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
25 predictions
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
36 predictions

Match overview