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International · World Championship U-20 · World Cup U20 Final Stage

11 Oct 2025 20:00 UTC

SPAIN U20 vs COLOMBIA U20

Final 2:3

Colombia U20 won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Neyser Villarreal — Colombia U20

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Rayane Belaid — Spain U20
  2. ⚽ Jan Virgili — Spain U20
  3. ⚽ Neyser Villarreal — Colombia U20
  4. ⚽ Neyser Villarreal — Colombia U20

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
Spain U20
90-minute result: Colombia U20
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
65%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 58% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 12 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 44 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 44 completed matches.

1X2 55% (Average)
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
Total 1.5 55% (Average)
Total 2.5 41% (Weak)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 2% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 8 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 25% (Weak)
Total 1.5 25% (Weak)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 100% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 66% (Strong)
32 predictions
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
17 predictions
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
31 predictions
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
15 predictions
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
39 predictions
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
42 predictions

Match overview