← Back to matches

International · World Championship U-20 · World Cup U20 Final Stage

08 Oct 2025 19:30 UTC

COLOMBIA U20 vs SOUTH AFRICA U20

Final 3:1

Colombia U20 won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Joel Canchimbo — Colombia U20

2nd half

  1. Mfundo Vilakazi — South Africa U20
  2. Neyser Villarreal — Colombia U20
  3. Neyser Villarreal — Colombia U20

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

No surprise
44%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
65%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
35%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 86% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 7 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 21% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 38 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 37 completed matches.

1X2 51% (Average)
Both teams to score 38% (Weak)
Total 1.5 51% (Average)
Total 2.5 35% (Weak)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 6 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 83% (Strong)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 62% (Good)
26 predictions
Both teams to score 35% (Weak)
23 predictions
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
24 predictions
Total 2.5 32% (Weak)
25 predictions
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
33 predictions
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
35 predictions

Match overview