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England · League Cup · EFL Cup

23 Sep 2025 18:45 UTC

BARNSLEY vs BRIGHTON

Final 0:6

Brighton won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Diego Gómez — Brighton
  2. ⚽ Diego Gómez — Brighton
  3. ⚽ Diego Gómez — Brighton

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Diego Gómez — Brighton
  2. ⚽ Harry Howell — Brighton
  3. ⚽ Yasin Ayari — Brighton

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Brighton
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
43%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
23%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
3:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:6

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 0% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 6 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 19% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 63 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 64 completed matches.

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 5% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 3 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 33% (Weak)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 33% (Weak)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 33% (Weak)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 17% (Weak)
6 predictions
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
34 predictions
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
51 predictions
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
35 predictions
Total 3.5 35% (Weak)
17 predictions
Total 4.5 9% (Weak)
11 predictions

Match overview