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International · UEFA Women's EURO · Women's EURO Grp. C

08 Jul 2025 19:00 UTC

POLAND vs SWEDEN

Final 0:3

Top match Sweden won

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Stina Blackstenius — Sweden

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Kosovare Asllani — Sweden
  2. ⚽ Lina Hurtig — Sweden

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
Poland
90-minute result: Sweden
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Nice call
48%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
45%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
Big miss
28%
Score
4:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Draw likelihood 8% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 12 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

No stats available

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

No stats available

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

No stats available

Match overview