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Argentina · Liga Profesional · Clausura

29 Jul 2026 22:15 UTC

GIMNASIA LP vs RIVER PLATE

Model prediction

Weak
39%
1X2
River Plate
Weak
57%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Weak
59%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Risky
37%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Strong
83%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Strong
92%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Weak
9%
Score
0:3

Chance of this exact score

Model Context

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 43% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 7 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 32% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 496 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 584 completed matches.

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 50% (Average)
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
Total 3.5 80% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 79 past matches

1X2 30% (Weak)
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 72% (Strong)
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 38% (Weak)
395 predictions
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
345 predictions
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
343 predictions
Total 2.5 37% (Weak)
170 predictions
Total 3.5 88% (Strong)
518 predictions
Total 4.5 96% (Strong)
556 predictions

Match preview