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Colombia · Colombia Cup 1 · Cup

29 Jul 2026 00:00 UTC

BOGOTA FC vs DEPORTIVO PASTO

Model prediction

Weak
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Good
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Weak
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Risky
37%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Strong
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Weak
5%
Score
2:2

Chance of this exact score

Model Context

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 39% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 33 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 117 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 120 completed matches.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 11 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 55% (Average)
Both teams to score 73% (Strong)
Total 1.5 27% (Weak)
Total 2.5 64% (Good)
Total 3.5 82% (Strong)
Total 4.5 100% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 40% (Weak)
35 predictions
Both teams to score 45% (Average)
44 predictions
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
70 predictions
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
37 predictions
Total 3.5 33% (Weak)
12 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
114 predictions

Match preview