SAO PAULO vs SANTOS FC
Model Context
Match prediction context
Probability in similar matches
27% (Weak)
How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).
Based on 26 past matches with this goal margin in this league.
Draw likelihood
26% (Typical)
Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.
Based on 437 finished matches in this league.
League
Historical model performance in this league before this match date.
Based on 512 completed matches.
1X2
45% (Weak)
Both teams to score
47% (Average)
Total 1.5
58% (Good)
Total 2.5
53% (Average)
Total 3.5
65% (Good)
Total 4.5
84% (Strong)
Score
9% (Weak)
Teams
This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.
Based on 100 past matches
1X2
47% (Average)
Both teams to score
43% (Weak)
Total 1.5
65% (Strong)
Total 2.5
52% (Average)
Total 3.5
60% (Good)
Total 4.5
83% (Strong)
Score
13% (Good)
Markets
This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.
1X2
45% (Weak)
374 predictions
Both teams to score
47% (Average)
266 predictions
Total 1.5
73% (Strong)
345 predictions
Total 2.5
55% (Average)
315 predictions
Total 3.5
73% (Strong)
426 predictions
Total 4.5
88% (Strong)
484 predictions