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International · Club Friendlies

28 Jul 2026 18:30 UTC

ASTON VILLA vs REAL SOCIEDAD

Model prediction

Strong
51%
1X2
Aston Villa
Weak
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Strong
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Risky
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Weak
58%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Strong
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Weak
11%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Model Context

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 49% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 100 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 22% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 949 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 892 completed matches.

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 55% (Average)
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 19 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
Total 3.5 53% (Average)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 50% (Average)
682 predictions
Both teams to score 42% (Weak)
340 predictions
Total 1.5 82% (Strong)
747 predictions
Total 2.5 41% (Weak)
371 predictions
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
630 predictions
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
775 predictions

Match preview