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Chile · Primera B

27 Jul 2026 23:00 UTC

UNION ESPANOLA vs DEPORTES RECOLETA

Final 2:1

Union Espanola won Last goal: Union Espanola

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Mitchell Wassenne — Union Espanola
  2. ⚽ Roberto Riveros — Deportes Recoleta
  3. ⚽ Andrés Vilches — Union Espanola

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
41%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Union Espanola
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 19% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 97 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 281 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 315 completed matches.

1X2 19% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 5% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 54 past matches

1X2 28% (Weak)
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 19% (Weak)
97 predictions
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
149 predictions
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
208 predictions
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
190 predictions
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
251 predictions
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
290 predictions

Match overview