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Hungary · NB I

27 Jul 2026 17:30 UTC

MTK BUDAPEST vs ZALAEGERSZEG

Final 3:0

MTK Budapest won Last goal: MTK Budapest

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Zalán Kerezsi — MTK Budapest

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Zalán Kerezsi — MTK Budapest
  2. ⚽ Milán Klausz — MTK Budapest

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: MTK Budapest
Off target
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 23% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 71 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 204 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 245 completed matches.

1X2 23% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 12% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 77 past matches

1X2 29% (Weak)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 23% (Weak)
71 predictions
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
136 predictions
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
188 predictions
Total 2.5 45% (Average)
131 predictions
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
193 predictions
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
226 predictions

Match overview