← Back to matches

Norway · 3. Division · 3. Division Avdeling 4

27 Jul 2026 17:00 UTC

HAUGESUND 2 vs VARHAUG

Final 2:2

Draw Last goal: Varhaug

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Nikolai Tendal — Haugesund 2

2nd half

  1. Noa Aarrestad — Varhaug
  2. Mikkel Hope — Haugesund 2
  3. Narve Boe — Varhaug

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
61%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
70%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
37%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Nice call
53%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 52% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 305 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 16% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 1,297 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 1543 completed matches.

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 81% (Strong)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 49% (Average)
Total 4.5 52% (Average)
Score 4% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 48 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 42% (Weak)
Total 4.5 50% (Average)
Score 2% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 50% (Average)
1250 predictions
Both teams to score 68% (Strong)
1045 predictions
Total 1.5 91% (Strong)
1364 predictions
Total 2.5 76% (Strong)
1089 predictions
Total 3.5 40% (Weak)
787 predictions
Total 4.5 57% (Good)
1076 predictions

Match overview