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Latvia · Virsliga

27 Jul 2026 15:00 UTC

FK TUKUMS 2000 vs RFS

Final 0:1 Almanac Moment

RFS won Last goal: RFS

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Darko Lemajic — RFS

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
RFS
90-minute result: RFS
Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Lucky hit
18%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
5%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 54% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 35 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 222 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 173 completed matches.

1X2 56% (Good)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 62 past matches

1X2 58% (Good)
Both teams to score 35% (Weak)
Total 1.5 55% (Average)
Total 2.5 42% (Weak)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 63% (Good)
Score 5% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 56% (Good)
126 predictions
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
93 predictions
Total 1.5 21% (Weak)
48 predictions
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
100 predictions
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
132 predictions
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
155 predictions

Match overview