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Austria · Stiegl Cup · Cup

26 Jul 2026 15:00 UTC

SCHWAZ vs SV WALLERN/ST.MARIENKIRCHEN

Final 2:3

SV Wallern/St.Marienkirchen won Last goal: Schwaz

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Moritz Hupfauf — Schwaz
  2. ⚽ Michael Wild — SV Wallern/St.Marienkirchen
  3. ⚽ Mateo Kvesa (penalty) — SV Wallern/St.Marienkirchen

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Michael Wild (penalty) — SV Wallern/St.Marienkirchen
  2. ⚽ Mehmet Sahin — Schwaz

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
SV Wallern/St.Marienkirchen
90-minute result: SV Wallern/St.Marienkirchen
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
18%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
No surprise
34%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
54%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
58%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 72% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 18 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 19% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 89 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 92 completed matches.

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 55% (Good)
Total 4.5 60% (Good)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 3 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 67% (Strong)
Both teams to score 0% (Weak)
Total 1.5 100% (Strong)
Total 2.5 67% (Strong)
Total 3.5 0% (Weak)
Total 4.5 33% (Weak)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 48% (Average)
77 predictions
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
34 predictions
Total 1.5 18% (Weak)
11 predictions
Total 2.5 29% (Weak)
28 predictions
Total 3.5 55% (Average)
53 predictions
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
77 predictions

Match overview