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Sweden · Allsvenskan

26 Jul 2026 14:30 UTC

MALMOE FF vs ELFSBORG

Final 1:2

Elfsborg won Last goal: Elfsborg

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Arbër Zeneli — Elfsborg
  2. ⚽ Jens Stryger — Malmoe FF
  3. ⚽ Momoh Kamara — Elfsborg

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Malte Frejd Paalsson (straight red) — Malmoe FF

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
Malmoe FF
90-minute result: Elfsborg
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 49% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 37 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 251 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 332 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 83 past matches

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
239 predictions
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
132 predictions
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
266 predictions
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
147 predictions
Total 3.5 72% (Strong)
233 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
287 predictions

Match overview