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South Korea · K3 League

26 Jul 2026 09:00 UTC

YANGPYEONG vs BUSAN TRANSPORT CORP

Final 2:4

Busan Transport Corp won Last goal: Busan Transport Corp

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ — — Busan Transport Corp
  2. ⚽ — — Yangpyeong
  3. ⚽ — — Yangpyeong

2nd half

  1. ⚽ — — Busan Transport Corp
  2. ⚽ — — Busan Transport Corp
  3. 🟥 — (straight red) — Busan Transport Corp

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Yangpyeong
90-minute result: Busan Transport Corp
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
16%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:3 (90 min)

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 44% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 39 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 266 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 302 completed matches.

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 81 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 16% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 38% (Weak)
226 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
147 predictions
Total 1.5 71% (Strong)
215 predictions
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
162 predictions
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
234 predictions
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
274 predictions

Match overview