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Serbia · Super Liga

26 Jul 2026 19:00 UTC

MACVA SABAC vs PARTIZAN BELGRADE

Final 1:3

Partizan Belgrade won Last goal: Partizan Belgrade

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Ibrahim Zubairu — Partizan Belgrade

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Bosko Vrastanovic (straight red) — Macva Sabac
  2. ⚽ Milan Vidakov — Macva Sabac
  3. ⚽ Demba Seck — Partizan Belgrade
  4. ⚽ Chaka Traorè — Partizan Belgrade
  5. 🟥 Demba Seck (straight red) — Partizan Belgrade

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
37%
1X2
Partizan Belgrade
90-minute result: Partizan Belgrade
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
0:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 24% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 29 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 300 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 358 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 46 past matches

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 41% (Weak)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 39% (Weak)
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Weak)
267 predictions
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
179 predictions
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
264 predictions
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
202 predictions
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
280 predictions
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
325 predictions

Match overview