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Slovakia · Super Liga · 1. Liga

25 Jul 2026 16:00 UTC

SPARTAK TRNAVA vs SKALICA

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Spartak Trnava

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Petr Pudhorocky — Skalica
  2. Damián Bariš (own goal) — Spartak Trnava

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
31%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
23%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
3:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 52% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 56 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 19% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 195 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 231 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 45% (Average)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 5% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 74 past matches

1X2 32% (Weak)
Both teams to score 31% (Weak)
Total 1.5 50% (Average)
Total 2.5 35% (Weak)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 1% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
162 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
139 predictions
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
175 predictions
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
111 predictions
Total 3.5 32% (Weak)
50 predictions
Total 4.5 35% (Weak)
20 predictions

Match overview