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Scotland · League Cup · League Cup Grp. H

25 Jul 2026 14:00 UTC

PETERHEAD vs KILMARNOCK

Final 0:0

Peterhead advanced

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
Kilmarnock
90-minute result: Draw
Advanced: Peterhead
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Big miss
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
37%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
Off target
19%
Score
2:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 45% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 33 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 13% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 159 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 159 completed matches.

1X2 57% (Good)
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 48% (Average)
Total 4.5 65% (Good)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 16 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 19% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 57% (Good)
128 predictions
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
74 predictions
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
121 predictions
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
82 predictions
Total 3.5 33% (Weak)
42 predictions
Total 4.5 12% (Weak)
25 predictions

Match overview