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Denmark · 1. Division

25 Jul 2026 14:00 UTC

FREDERICIA vs HB KOEGE

Final 3:0

Fredericia won Last goal: Fredericia

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Elias Hansborg-Soerensen — Fredericia
  2. ⚽ Frederik Thykaer Rieper — Fredericia
  3. ⚽ William Madsen — Fredericia

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
37%
1X2
Fredericia
90-minute result: Fredericia
Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 30% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 30 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 199 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 243 completed matches.

1X2 34% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 49 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 34% (Weak)
176 predictions
Both teams to score 42% (Weak)
99 predictions
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
184 predictions
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
120 predictions
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
167 predictions
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
210 predictions

Match overview