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Paraguay · Primera Division · Division Profesional - Clausura

24 Jul 2026 21:30 UTC

CERRO PORTENO vs SPORTIVO TRINIDENSE

Final 1:2

Sportivo Trinidense won Last goal: Sportivo Trinidense

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Iván Ramírez — Cerro Porteno

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Axel Cañete — Sportivo Trinidense
  2. ⚽ Luis Abreu — Sportivo Trinidense

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Cerro Porteno
90-minute result: Sportivo Trinidense
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
37%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
31%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
20%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
4:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 46% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 48 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 259 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 296 completed matches.

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 93 past matches

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 42% (Weak)
Total 1.5 47% (Average)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 39% (Weak)
190 predictions
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
130 predictions
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
197 predictions
Total 2.5 38% (Weak)
88 predictions
Total 3.5 26% (Weak)
42 predictions
Total 4.5 27% (Weak)
22 predictions

Match overview