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Austria · Stiegl Cup · Cup

24 Jul 2026 17:30 UTC

UNION GURTEN vs BW LINZ

Final 1:3 Almanac Moment

BW Linz advanced Last goal: BW Linz

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Felix Seiwald — Union Gurten

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Ronivaldo — BW Linz

Extra time

  1. ⚽ Jacob Collmann — BW Linz
  2. ⚽ Simon Schnaitter (own goal) — BW Linz

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
42%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Draw
Advanced: BW Linz
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
34%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
58%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
75%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
17%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1 (90 min)

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 10% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 10 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 19% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 62 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 65 completed matches.

1X2 10% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 55% (Good)
Total 4.5 60% (Good)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 6 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 67% (Strong)
Total 1.5 100% (Strong)
Total 2.5 83% (Strong)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 33% (Weak)
Score 17% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 10% (Weak)
10 predictions
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
39 predictions
Total 1.5 84% (Strong)
56 predictions
Total 2.5 32% (Weak)
19 predictions
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
35 predictions
Total 4.5 72% (Strong)
53 predictions

Match overview