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Romania · Superliga

24 Jul 2026 18:30 UTC

FC ARGES PITESTI vs PETROLUL PLOIESTI

Final 1:0

FC Arges Pitesti won Last goal: FC Arges Pitesti

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Robert Moldoveanu — FC Arges Pitesti
  2. 🟥 Ricardo Matos (straight red) — FC Arges Pitesti

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
FC Arges Pitesti
90-minute result: FC Arges Pitesti
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Off target
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
12%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 49% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 83 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 326 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 376 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Strong)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 84 past matches

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Strong)
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
Score 12% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Average)
274 predictions
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
206 predictions
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
289 predictions
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
169 predictions
Total 3.5 75% (Strong)
297 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
345 predictions

Match overview